In late April the department of commercial affairs carries on the news which to the import caprolactam counter-dumping puts on record to investigate, it may be said that a stone arouses thousand overlapping waves. On industrial chain all quarters, because the role playing and receives affects differently, also clings to his own interpretation. Generally speaking, the downstream polyamide fiber polymerization, the spinning enterprise, expressed regarding this does not approve and worried; But the upstream caprolactam Production enterprise, thought that this act in the protection nationality industry, maintains the international square deal environment at the same time, will not have the tremendous influence to the downstream user.
The change is a little quick
Caprolactam polymerization and spinning enterprise regarding this event feeling quite a lot, spoke frankly that is been big the policy stabilizing factor influence.
in 2008,（Related Articlesgifts for kids Before the research calls the child who 6 years old, has come under attack possibly t）, after having implemented 5 year anti-dumping measures due, the department of commercial affairs issues an order to terminate to originally is from Japan,baby doll, Belgium, Germany, Holland, Russia's import caprolactam levies the counter-dumping tax. The downstream related enterprise based on this positively appealed that and has won finally from January 1, 2009, the caprolactam import tariff by 9% reduces to 5% policy support. These two matters are intense in the downstream echo.
According to correlation data statistics, in national a series of advantageous policies carry out in the process, before 2008, suspends production 34 are related in the enterprise to have 13 to resume the production gradually in the first quarter in 2009, and sped up the profession technology advancement and the industrial upgrading step to a certain extent. At the same time, the upstream and downstream cooperation is closer, and has signed the strategy cooperative agreement, has formed the technological cooperation group, promotes the polyamide fiber industry promotion together.
However good times don'ts last long, at the beginning of this year, our country caprolactam import tariff from 5% surrender to the state to 7%. hereafter, the import caprolactam encounters counter-dumping to put on record once more to investigate, but instead leaned with 2003 closes a case compares, by field of investigation limited to the US and European Union.
Three aspects worried
Reporter found that did not approve to imports the caprolactam to implement the anti-dumping measures the related enterprise and the public figure, the main worry concentrates in three aspects.
First, worried that caprolactam raw material could not satisfy the domestic demand. Statistics indicated that in 2009 the domestic caprolactam amount used is 930,000 tons, the domestically produced 330,600 tons, import 601,300 tons, the import degree of dependency reaches 64.6%. builds up 100,000 tons new products along with Shijiazhuang to be able the official production as well as the Baling petrochemical, Nanjing DSM the East carries on through the technological transformation expands produces, estimated that in 2010 the domestic caprolactam output is 470,000 tons, the enterprise interior from the amount used is 100,000 tons, outside supplies the quantity about 370,000 tons. Same time, because the domestic Textile enterprise makes the structural adjustment, the large-scale polyamide fiber spinning enterprise extends the development to the upstream, causes the caprolactam polymerization to produce can increase 374,000 tons, in 2010 the domestic caprolactam demand will amount to 1,200,000 tons, the gap above 60%.
Next, the worry polyamide fiber industry chain profit is further centralized to the upstream. After financial crisis's baptism, the upstream and downstream further wears in the adjustment, originally concentrates in the industrial chain upstream profit has disperses, the polyamide fiber industry collective passed the most difficult time. At present, caprolactam Production enterprise production and marketing two prosperous, the downstream polymerization enterprise's utilization of capacity has also achieved 90%., but, the overall, in 2009 the caprolactam price increase scope is higher than same time the polyamide fiber slice and the polyamide fiber product increase scope far,baby doll, the profit has once more to the upstream centralized tendency. If the counter-dumping establishment, this tendency will intensify inevitably.
Once more, worried the customs duty hangs upside down the question and the free trade agreement impact. After several round policy adjustments, at present the caprolactam, the slice, the polyamide fiber import tariff respectively is 7%,6.5%,5%, the import tariff hung upside down the phenomenon still to exist. With our country Taiwan area (0%), South Korea (3%), the Japanese (4.7%) caprolactam import tariff compares, the domestic polyamide fiber product also obviously lacks the competitive advantage .2004~2007 years, Taiwan area caprolactam polymerization produces can increase the nearly 320,000 tons, and will export inland .2010 year Taiwan to increase 100,000 tons polymerizations massively to produce again energy. In addition, the Japanese space department company with some Taiwan enterprise in Thailand, the Vietnamese addition caprolactam polymerization produces in abundance energy, hoped that exports the slice using the China - ASEAN Free Trade Area, will create the very big attack to the domestic polyamide fiber polymerization enterprise.
Also some public figures believed that if the caprolactam instead leans closes a case the establishment, then before this after the import polyamide fiber slice instead leans closes a case obtains affirmative initially cuts, the Chinese Enterprise wins the enabling environment will become instead disadvantageous, because domestic polymerization enterprise rare development opportunity once more by giant raw material pressure tired.
Situation not that bad
Regarding industry in these worries, the caprolactam Production enterprise's people concerned thought that definitely may understand,baby doll, but situation not that bad.
They believed that instead leaned with 2003 caprolactam closes a case compares, this counter-dumping being involved in a case scope did not include Japan, Russia's related enterprise, these country's high quality caprolactam still could enter the domestic market through the normal channel. Looking from the former import data, our country from Japan, the caprolactam which Russia imports accounts for the import total quantity the proportion distinction above 10%.
Meets the domestic large-scale need with difficulty as for the domestically produced caprolactam the question, these public figures analyze believed that is precisely the overseas caprolactam enterprise's dumping behavior, causes the domestic caprolactam Production enterprise to expand massively produces the plan not to be able to realize slowly. If instead leans closes a case the establishment, will build the advantageous development environment for the Domestic enterprise. Some news said that the Baling petrochemical and the Nanjing DSM East plans before 2014, increases 200,000 ton about the caprolactams to produce energy. If this plan obtains carries out, at the appointed time the caprolactam supply pressure will obtain the effective alleviation.
They analyze pointed out that looked from the world polyamide fiber's industry state of play, most national this industries is withering besides China, particularly the developed country even only retained the caprolactam and few high-end product productivity, its production's caprolactam exports China massively. If China's anti-dumping measures implementation, they, in the caprolactam sale comes under the influence in the situation, for present's survival and the development, will possibly speed up in China puts up a factory or to the Chinese output caprolactam production technology step, this to will enhance the caprolactam the manufacture domestically rate is without doubt advantageous. It is known that world chemical industry giant Basifu once had in the 1990s in the Chinese Construction Caprolactam Factory wish.
Moreover, the domestic Private enterprise in constructs on the caprolactam production line the slow progress, also by some public figures was thought that is the overseas caprolactam dumps in China stirs up the calamity, but this view not yet obtains the related enterprise to confirm.
Up to present, the caprolactam instead leaned closes a case the result still not to have the conclusion, all quarters opinion which is right and which is wrong also difficultly to talk clearly. No matter what kind, the professionals did not hope that therefore causes the upstream and downstream quarrel, did not hope, because industrial chain various links do things their own way, causes the Chinese polyamide fiber industry to miss the adjustment industrial structure, the transformation development way turning point, the error contract world industry shift good opportunity.
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